Tuesday, July 14, 2009

July 14 trades

Dow Jones jumped by 2.3% to 8,332 last night on positive remarks by analysts on the financial sector. Could this have negated the head and shoulders pattern (neckline was 8,200)?

PSEi tried to follow suit reaching a high of 2,514 mid-trading day, but people were on "sell-on-rally" mode once again. Index hit a low of 2,484 before closing just 9 points higher than yesterday to 2,492. Some excitement brought to us by Lepanto Mining Corp. (LC/LCB) due to "revived" rumors of Manny Pangilinan's (MVP) buy-in. LC and LCB shot up by 29% and 25%, respectively, on big volume particularly LC. Wealth Securities (code: 269) was the biggest buyer of the said securities today. Sympathy play trickled in to the rest of Felipe Yap stocks (Manila Mining [MA/MAB]) and other mining issues as well.

We saw today also the block trade of MER amounting to Php20 billion, which was the block purchased by MVP from the Lopezes at Php90 per share.

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I dumped BPC and SMCB today at a minimal loss because I think they were toppish. But I was whipsawed once again, this time by BPC. :( Some big buying by Macquarie and Regis on BPC brought it to close on its high at 2.42! Sigh. :( Thank God, I was able to hitch a significant portion of my portfolio on LC. :D It closed on its high at 0.225 (bid price) with gargantuan volume. I expect this to gap up tomorrow and continue its ascent. Technical analysis of LC below (click to enlarge):

Daily:


Weekly:


We can expect some resistance towards 0.25 then 0.28. Weekly Cup and Handle pattern points to 0.36.

I'm still holding on to WEB and PAX. Technical analysis of WEB and PAX below (click to enlarge):

WEB Daily:


WEB Weekly:


WEB broke out from 0.0525 the other day. Price target is 0.06 to 0.0625 based on uptrend channel and weekly Cup and Handle pattern.

PAX Daily:


I'm disappointed with PAX to be honest though this is still within the pennant pattern. Bolliger bands are contracting, which is a sign that a major move is coming soon. Bull or bear? That's the question.

Composition:
LC = 21%
WEB = 13%
PAX = 11%
Odd-lots = 4%

Portfolio invested: 49%
Cash: 51%

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Incidentally, tomorrow is my dad's 57th birthday. Advanced happy birthday dad! I'm glad that you're trying to live a healthier lifestyle now. :D

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